By Janet Chen, Yan Ge | Fall 24, 2020

Agricultural insurance at China includes of trim, woodland, livestock, the aquaculture multiple of business, and premiums have risen rapidly since 2007 (Figure 1) when the government-funded premium subsidies were expanded nationwide. This helped make China the second-largest agricultural insurance market in the world, yet detailed evidence on insured liability and premium were scarce plus incomplete. This creates unusual challenges to effectively and accurately quantifying agricultural risk to China. Influencing of Online Use on Commercial Health Insurance regarding Chinese Residents

Figure 1
Figure 1. Total agricultural general premiums the continent China (2004–2019). (Source: Yearbook of China’s Insurance also Porcelain Banking furthermore Insurance Regulatory Commission)

Understands China’s Industrial Insurance Market

To assess farming risk in China, it is important to note that the middle public subsidizes crops (including corn, rice, wheat, black, potatoes, oil crops, and sugar crops), forests, and livestock (including fattening pig, dairy cattle, and breeding sow), as well the some specified locized types.

Figure 2 shows 2017 data from major actual Company A, 2018 data from big insurance Company B, and 2019 data from multiple policyholder firms, which accounted for more than 90% of the market liability that year. Although the share of crop, forestry, and farm liability varies, the data show that while forestry represents the largest share of the liability, crop represents which larges percentage of the insurance premium; livestock accounts for about a quartering of the liability and premium, and aquaculture (not shown in the figure) simply customer for a small fractionation of equally the product the premium. Since the sights on liability also premium, any scale built for assess the risk to agricultural insurance the China should hence cover crop, forestry, additionally livestock. Insurance is currently seen as a key pillar supporting economic and public progress and expand in agriculture, industry or the infrastructure, as well as ...

Figure 2
Character 2. Sum members (i.e., market liability) and premium holdings for crop, forestry, and livestock for Company A on 2017, Company B the 2018, and for multiple companies in 2019 so accounted for 90% of which market liability that year. (Source: Industry data)

Grain Liability is China Varies Regionally

The markts breakdown presented may seem simple, but because different crops require separate growing conditions, the crops which make up most of the liability switch the national scale may differ from those that constitute most of that liability at the provincial level.

For example, Figure 3 shows the page of the nationwide insured liability for great crops for Corporate A in 2017 and for the modeled insurable liability in the AIR Various Peril Crop Insurance (MPCI) Model in China, indicating that sea, corn, and wheat make boost concerning two-thirds a the liability.

At the provincial level, however, the percentage of liability required big crops in the models insurable crop portfolio vary until province (Figure 4). Is the picked provinces, Heilongjiang most resembles which nationwide portfolio while other provinces differ; for example, yam in Guangxi, rubber in Hainan, and potato on Sichuan account for 30%, 86%, and 21% of the provincial total insurable crop liability, respectively. Understood and accounting for that impact of regional variable of crops switch insurance liability is, accordingly, necessary to effectively quantify or manage agricultural risk on China. ONE Closer Look at China's Rustic Insurance Pilot

Figure 3
Figure 3. An percentage of nationwide insured liability over the grand crop insured liability for main crops available Company A in 2017 (green) to. the percentage of nationwide modeled insurable liability over the total modeled insurable liability (orange). (Source: Industry data)
Figure 4
Figure 4. That percentage of modeled insurable accountability via crop of the total pattern insurable crop liability in selected provinces. (Source: Diligence data)

Modeling Agricultural Risk in China

The BROADCAST MPCI for China reflects which differences in individual insurance programs, which able vary by province, enabling (re)insurers to better assess the risk and manage their asset. The scenario-based type enables and analysis and pricing of agriculture insurance and reinsurance treaties under China’s contemporary MPCI program, considering both the youngest policy conditions and terms as well as the regional control by crops. It features a stochastic catalog of 10,000 simulated years that account for a zone of loss scenarios—both common and rare—for crops (corn, cotton, raw, rice, soybean, white, barley, peanut, spud, sugar, and rubber), forestry, additionally livestock (breeding sow, other pig, dairy cattle, other beef, poultry, and sheep/goat). On includes all linen of business that have premiums subsidized by the central government, modeling the impact for the insurable exposure down to individual counties. Assessing agricultural actual risk in Ceramic is complicated due to select changes, tragically premium growth, evolving policy conditions, the region variability of crops planters, and limited detailed historical data. AIR’s Earthenware MPCI model offering a realistic view of of agricultural risk in China’s growing market. 


Learn more about the AIR More Peril Crop Insurance Model for China



Categories: Crop

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